Differential Abstention in a Spain with Autonomies. Significant Traits and Explanatory Mechanisms
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.3989/ris.2010.10.07Keywords:
Autonomous Identification, Fiscal Decentralization, Permissiveness of the electoral system, Regional Elections, TurnoutAbstract
The implementation of the model of territorial organization established by the Spanish Constitution of 1978 involves the creation of non state-wide institutions with legislative powers, and the celebration of regional elections in order to decide the composition of the autonomous parliaments. The turnout registered in this type of contests is persistently and generally lower than in general elections. Those citizens that participate in the general but not in the regional elections are known as differential non-voters. Despite this pattern of non-voting is repeated election after election in all the communities, its magnitude and consequences differ in each case. In this paper, the causes of this variation are explored by using aggregated data of turnout in both types of elections across regions and over time. Results from the specified econometric models seem to point out the need to resort to several socio-demographic, political and institutional factors to explain differential abstention in the decentralized Spain.
Downloads
References
Aldrich, J. 1997. “When is it rational to vote?”, Pp. 363-390 en Perspectives on Public Choice. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Anduiza, E. 2002. “Individual characteristics, institutional incentives and electoral abstention in Western Europe”. European Journal of Political Research 42:643-673.
Balcells i Ventura, L. y E. Roig i Madorran. 2008. “Catalunya después del ‘Tripartit’. Continuidad y cambio en patrones de comportamiento electoral”. Estudio de Progreso 39/2008. Fundación Alternativas. Madrid.
Barreiro, B. 2002. “La progresiva desmovilización de la izquierda en España: un análisis de la abstención en las elecciones generales de 1986 a 2000.” Revista Española de Ciencia Política 6:183-205.
Beck, N. y J. Katz. 2009. “Modeling dynamics in time-series-cross-section political economy data”. Social Science Working Paper 1304. Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, California Institute of Technology. Pasadena.
Beck, N. y J. Katz. 1995. “What to do (and not to do) with time-series cross-section data.” American Political Science Review 89:634-647. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2082979
Blais, A. 2006. “What affects voter turnout?.” Annual Review of Political Science 9:111-125. http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.9.070204.105121
Blais, A. y R. K. Carty. 1990. “Does proportional representation foster voter turnout?.” European Journal of Political Research 18:167-181. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-6765.1990.tb00227.x
Blais, A. y A. Dobrzynska. 1998. “Turnout in electoral democracies.” European Journal of Political Research 33:239-261. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.00382
Blais, A. e I. Lago. 2009. “A general measure of district competitiveness.” Electoral Studies 28:94-100. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2008.07.007
Boix, C. y C. Riba. 2000. “Las bases sociales y políticas de la abstención en las elecciones generales españolas: Recursos individuales, movilización estratégica e instituciones electorales.” Revista Española de Investigaciones Sociológicas 90:95-128. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/40184253
Bosch, N. y M. Espasa. 2006. La hisenda local a la Unió Europea (UE-15). Barcelona: Diputació de Barcelona.
Breusch, T. S. y A. R. Pagan. 1980. “The Lagrange Multiplier Test and its applications to model specification in econometrics.” Review of Economic Studies 47:239-253. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2297111
Cox, G. W. 1999. “Electoral rules and the calculus of mobilization.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 24:387-419. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/440350
Cox, G. W. y M. C. Munger. 1989. “Closeness, expenditures and turnout in the 1982 US House elections”. American Political Science Review 83:217-230. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1956441
Downs, A. 1957. An Economic Theory of Democracy. Nueva York: Harper & Row.
Ferejohn, J. A. y M. P. Fiorina. 1974. “The paradox of not voting: A decision theoretic analysis”. American Political Science Review 68:525-536. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1959502
Font, J. 1995. “La abstención electoral en España: certezas e interrogantes”. Revista Española de Investigaciones Sociológicas 71-72:11-37.
Font, J., J. Contreras y G. Rico. 1998. L’abstenció en les eleccions al Parlament de Catalunya. Barcelona: Fundació Jaume Bofill.
Font, J. y A. Mateos. 2007. “La participación electoral”. Pp. 143-168 en Elecciones generales 2004. Madrid: CIS.
Fornos, C. A., T. J. Power y J. C. Garand. 2004. “Explaining voter turnout in Latin America, 1980 to 2000”. Comparative Political Studies 37:909-940. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0010414004267981
Franklin, M. N. 2004. Voter Turnout and the Dynamics of Electoral Competition in Established Democracies since 1945. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511616884
Gallego, A. 2010. “Understanding unequal turnout: Education and voting in comparative perspective”. Electoral Studies 29:239-247. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2009.11.002
Gelman, A. y J. Hill. 2007. Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models. Cambridge y New York: Cambridge University Press.
Geys B. 2006. “Explaining voter turnout: A review of aggregate-level research”. Electoral Studies 25:637-663. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2005.09.002
Gosnell, H. F. 1930. Why Europe Votes. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Gray, M. y M. Caul. 2000. “Declining voter turnout in advanced industrial democracies, 1950 to 1997. The effects of declining group mobilization”. Comparative Political Studies 33:1091-1122. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0010414000033009001
Gunther, R., J. R. Montero y J. Botella. 2004. Democracy in Modern Spain. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Jackman, R. W. 1987. “Political institutions and voter turnout in the industrial democracies”. American Political Science Review 81:405-423. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1961959
Jackman, R. W. y R. A. Miller. 1995. “Voter turnout in industrial democracies during the 1980s”. Comparative Political Studies 27:467-492. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0010414095027004001
Justel, M. 1995. La abstención electoral en España, 1977-1993. Madrid: CIS.
Kostadinova, T. 2003. “Voter turnout dynamics in post-communist Europe”. European Journal of Political Research 42:741-759. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.00102
Lago, I. 2002. “Cleavages y umbrales: Las consecuencias políticas de los sistemas electorales autonómicos, 1980-2000”. Revista Española de Ciencia Política 7:131-160.
Lago, I. y J. R. Montero. 2010. “Participación y resultados electorales en España”. Revista Española de Investigaciones Sociológicas 130:97-116.
Lavezzolo, S., P. Riera y A. Santana. En prensa. “La participación en las elecciones de 2008: factores micro y macro”. En Elecciones generales 2008. Madrid: CIS.
Lijphart, A. 1997. “Unequal participation: Democracy’s unresolved dilemma”. American Political Science Review 91:1-14. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2952255
Lijphart, A. 1994. Electoral Systems and Party Systems: A Study of Twenty-Seven Democracies, 1945-1990. New York: Oxford University Press.
Linz, J. J. 1985. “De la crisis de un Estado unitario al Estado de las Autonomías”. Pp. 527-672 en España de las Autonomías. Madrid: IEF.
Lipset, S. M. 1960. Political Man. Londres: Heinemann.
Merton, R. K. 1987. “Three fragments from a sociologist’s notebook: establishing the phenomenon, specified ignorance and strategic research materials”. Annual Review of Sociology 13:1-28. http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev.so.13.080187.000245
Montero, J. R. 1984. “Niveles, fluctuaciones y tendencias del abstencionismo en España y Europa”. Revista Española de Investigaciones Sociológicas 28:223-242.
Montero, J. R. y J. Font. 1991. “El voto dual en Cataluña: Lealtad y transferencia de votos en las elecciones autonómicas”. Revista de Estudios Políticos 73:7-34.
Norris, P. 2002. Democratic Phoenix: Reinventing Political Activism. Nueva York: Cambridge University Press. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511610073
Norris, P. 1997. “Second-order elections revisited”. European Journal of Political Research 31:109-114. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.00308
Pacek, A. y B. Radcliff. 1995a. “The political economy of competitive elections in the developing world.” American Journal of Political Science 39:745-759. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2111652
Pacek, A. y B. Radcliff. 1995b. “Economic voting and the welfare state: A cross-national analysis.” Journal of Politics 57:44-61. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2960270
Padró-Solanet, A. y J. M. Colomer. 1992. “Modelos espaciales y temas de campaña. El caso de las elecciones autonómicas de Cataluña de 1992.” Revista de Estudios Políticos 78:131-159.
Pallarés, F. 1994. “Las elecciones autonómicas en España: 1980-1992”. Pp. 151-220 en Comportamiento político y electoral. Madrid: CIS.
Pallarés, F. y J. Font. 1994. “Las elecciones autonómicas en Cataluña (1980-1992)”. Pp. 221-274 en Comportamiento político y electoral. Madrid: CIS.
Pérez-Liñán, A. 2001. “Neoinstitutional accounts of voter turnout: Moving beyond industrial democracies.” Electoral Studies 20:281-297. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0261-3794(00)00019-6
Pérez-Nievas S. y M. Fraile. 2000. “Is the nationalist vote really nationalist? Dual voting in Catalonia 1980-1999”. Estudio/Working Paper 147. CEACS. Madrid.
Powell, C. B. 1986. “American voter turnout in comparative perspective.” American Journal of Political Science 80:17-44. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1957082
Rae, D. W. 1971 [1967]. The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Reif, K. 1997. “European elections as member state second-order elections revisited.” European Journal of Political Research 31:115-124. http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1006860919635
Reif, K. y H. Schmitt. 1980. “Nine second-order national elections - A conceptual framework for the analysis of European election results.” European Journal of Political Research 8:3-44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-6765.1980.tb00737.x
Riba, C. 2000. “Voto dual y abstención diferencial. Un estudio sobre el comportamiento electoral en Cataluña.” Revista Española de Investigaciones Sociológicas 91:59-88. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/40184275
Riker, W. H. and P. C. Ordeshook. 1968. “A theory of the calculus of voting”. American Political Science Review 62:25-42. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1953324
Robbins, J.W. 2010. “The personal vote and voter turnout”. Electoral Studies 29: 661-672. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2010.07.001
Rodon i Casarramona, T. 2009. “El sesgo de participación en el sistema electoral español”. Revista Española de Investigaciones Sociológicas 126:107-125.
Rosenstone, S. J. y J. M. Hansen. 1993. Mobilization, Participation and Democracy in America. Nueva York: MacMillan.
Subirats, J. y R. Gallego. 2002. “El análisis del rendimiento institucional: teoría y aplicación a las comunidades autónomas”. Pp. 3-27 en Veinte años de autonomías en España: leyes, políticas públicas, instituciones y opinión pública. Madrid: CIS.
Taagepera, R. y M. S. Shugart. 1989. Seats and Votes: The Effects and Determinants of Electoral Systems. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Vallés, J. M. 2009. “La abstención “diferencial”: una nota sobre los casos de Cataluña y de la Comunidad Autónoma de Madrid”. Revista Española de Ciencia Política 21:93-105.
Verba, S. y N. H. Nie. 1972. Participation in America: Political Democracy and Social Equality. Nueva York: Harper & Row.
Wert, J. I. 1998. “Elecciones autonómicas en España: Una visión de conjunto”. Pp. 503-526 en Las elecciones autonómicas en España, 1980-1997. Madrid: CIS.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2012 Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
© CSIC. Manuscripts published in both the print and online versions of this journal are the property of the Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, and quoting this source is a requirement for any partial or full reproduction.
All contents of this electronic edition, except where otherwise noted, are distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) licence. You may read the basic information and the legal text of the licence. The indication of the CC BY 4.0 licence must be expressly stated in this way when necessary.
Self-archiving in repositories, personal webpages or similar, of any version other than the final version of the work produced by the publisher, is not allowed.








