La evolución del voto del Partido Popular en las elecciones legislativas (1977-2000)

Abstract

This article analyses the vote nationalisation of the Popular Party (PP) in eight Spanish national elections held from 1997-2000. For analytical purposes, the analysis of variance, which was proposed by Stokes, has been used. The analysis shows that 90 per cent of the party vote fluctuations in the whole period are explained by national factors, 8 per cent by regional components and 2 per cent is imputable to local factors. However, in the period 1977-2000 the vote of the PP experienced two different stages of evolution. Our study shows that, since the late 1980s, the electorate of the party has tended to diverge territorially, once the electoral support of the party was quite equally allocated across the diverse regions of the country. Finally, our findings do not confirm the inevitable trend, in the point of view of several authors, toward the increasing nationalisation of the electorate in Western democracies since the seventies.